Picks · Week 9 · 2026
Week 9 picks and results
Week 9 projections and final scores. Historical reconstructions use only earlier periods; a recorded publication is identified separately when evidence exists.
Historical projections are not automatically a record of picks published before kickoff. Local builds reconstruct missing history without creating publication evidence. See prediction performance for separate samples, baseline comparisons, and limitations.
Games projected
56
FBS games this week
Week record
40-16
71% of winners picked
Season projections
73%
1,913 of 2,613 winners, all divisions; may include reconstructed history
Average miss
14.5 pts
Projected vs. actual margin, same season sample
Every game
Tuesday, October 27
Western Kentucky by 0.8
DEL 48%52% WKU
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Delaware 35, Western Kentucky 21Missed
Missouri State by 2.2
SHSU 45%55% MOST
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Sam Houston 3, Missouri State 24Correct
Wednesday, October 28
Middle Tennessee by 9.6
KENN 31%69% MTSU
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Kennesaw State 44, Middle Tennessee 28MissedUpset
Jacksonville State by 4.8
JXST 60%40% NMSU
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Jacksonville State 24, New Mexico State 0Correct
Thursday, October 29
North Texas by 16.4
FAU 20%80% UNT
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Florida Atlantic 41, North Texas 48Correct
James Madison by 27.5
TROY 7%93% JMU
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Troy 24, James Madison 21MissedUpset
Friday, October 30
Kent State by 12.8
KENT 75%25% SAC
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Kent State 10, Sacramento State 31MissedUpset
Saturday, October 31
Texas Tech by 0.8
ARIZ 48%52% TTU
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Arizona 26, Texas Tech 34Correct
NC State by 8.3
CAL 33%67% NCSU
Reconstructed backtest
Final: California 10, NC State 31Correct
Duke by 10.1
BC 30%70% DUKE
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Boston College 2, Duke 47Correct
Notre Dame by 28.9
ND 94%7% NAVY
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Notre Dame 35, Navy 13Correct
South Florida by 14.3
UAB 23%77% USF
Reconstructed backtest
Final: UAB 10, South Florida 30Correct
Western Michigan by 19.3
BGSU 16%84% WMU
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Bowling Green 10, Western Michigan 23Correct
Marshall by 0.7
MRSH 51%49% ODU
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Marshall 36, Old Dominion 23Correct
Kansas State by 4.5
KSU 59%41% COLO
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Kansas State 24, Colorado 27Missed
Georgia State by 11.1
CCU 28%72% GAST
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Coastal Carolina 31, Georgia State 20MissedUpset
East Carolina by 5.5
TEM 39%61% ECU
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Temple 9, East Carolina 17Correct
Louisiana Tech by 1.7
LT 53%47% USA
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Louisiana Tech 35, South Alabama 20Correct
Louisville by 23.7
STAN 11%89% LOU
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Stanford 24, Louisville 52Correct
BYU by 22.7
ASU 12%88% BYU
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Arizona State 20, BYU 27Correct
Northwestern by 3.6
NU 57%43% ORE
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Northwestern 26, Oregon 34Missed
Utah State by 3.9
CSU 42%58% USU
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Colorado State 14, Utah State 31Correct
North Dakota State by 35.9
UTEP 3%97% NDSU
Reconstructed backtest
Final: UTEP 7, North Dakota State 31Correct
Liberty by 18.5
FIU 17%83% LIB
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Florida International 10, Liberty 49Correct
Toss-up
USM 51%49% ULM
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Southern Miss 35, UL Monroe 21Correct
Utah by 8.0
UTAH 66%34% CIN
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Utah 49, Cincinnati 25Correct
Wake Forest by 18.0
UVA 17%83% WAKE
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Virginia 7, Wake Forest 51Correct
New Mexico by 17.6
UNM 82%18% SJSU
Reconstructed backtest
Final: New Mexico 21, San José State 16Correct
Oklahoma by 1.0
SC 48%52% OU
Reconstructed backtest
Final: South Carolina 42, Oklahoma 25Missed
Penn State by 6.8
PUR 36%64% PSU
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Purdue 17, Penn State 31Correct
Georgia Southern by 6.6
APP 37%63% GASO
Reconstructed backtest
Final: App State 3, Georgia Southern 19Correct
Oklahoma State by 8.5
OKST 67%33% ISU
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Oklahoma State 49, Iowa State 51MissedUpset
Florida State by 6.3
CLEM 37%63% FSU
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Clemson 36, Florida State 24Missed
San Diego State by 7.1
WSU 36%65% SDSU
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Washington State 20, San Diego State 26Correct
Texas by 15.1
MSST 21%79% TEX
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Mississippi State 3, Texas 31Correct
Pittsburgh by 18.5
GT 17%83% PITT
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Georgia Tech 11, Pittsburgh 34Correct
Miami by 16.4
MIA 80%20% UNC
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Miami 38, North Carolina 35Correct
Ohio State by 11.4
OSU 73%28% USC
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Ohio State 18, USC 30MissedUpset
Nebraska by 20.5
WASH 14%86% NEB
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Washington 17, Nebraska 10MissedUpset
Boise State by 15.8
TXST 20%80% BOIS
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Texas State 45, Boise State 46Correct
UNLV by 27.2
NIU 8%92% UNLV
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Northern Illinois 24, UNLV 31Correct
Oregon State by 8.3
ORST 67%33% FRES
Reconstructed backtest
Final: Oregon State 22, Fresno State 38MissedUpset
